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Comparison

PPF vs SIP: Guaranteed Returns or Market Growth?

PPF vs Equity SIP compared side by side — the differences, the numbers, and which to choose.

By Aarav Mehta, CFA, MBA Finance · Updated Jun 2026 · 1 min read

PPF is a government-backed savings scheme with fixed, tax-free returns. A mutual-fund SIP invests in the market, with higher potential returns but no guarantee. Here is how investing ₹1.5 lakh a year compares over 15 years.

Scenario: ₹1,50,000 a year for 15 years — PPF at 7.1% versus an equity SIP of ₹12,500/month assumed at 12%.

Side-by-side comparison

MetricPPFEquity SIP
Maturity value₹40,68,209₹63,07,200
Total invested₹22,50,000₹22,50,000

PPF vs Equity SIP at a glance

PPFEquity SIP
ReturnsFixed, set by the governmentMarket-linked, not guaranteed
RiskVirtually noneMarket risk (can fall short term)
TaxTax-free (EEE)Capital-gains tax on equity gains
Lock-in15 yearsNone (open-ended)
Best forSafe, tax-free long-term coreLong-term growth above inflation

The verdict

At assumed historical returns, an equity SIP can grow to noticeably more than PPF over 15 years — but those returns are not guaranteed and the value swings along the way. PPF gives certainty and tax-free growth with zero market risk. Most planners use both: PPF as the safe, tax-free anchor and SIPs for long-term growth. Treat the SIP figure as an estimate, not a promise.

Model your own numbers with the PPF Calculator and the SIP Calculator.

Calculators in this guide

Frequently asked questions

They serve different goals. PPF gives guaranteed, tax-free returns with no risk; an equity SIP offers higher potential growth but with market risk and no guarantee. A mix of both balances safety and growth.

Yes, and many people do. PPF provides a safe, tax-free foundation while SIPs aim for higher long-term growth. Together they diversify your savings across safety and market exposure.

Aarav Mehta · CFA, MBA Finance

Aarav reviews every finance formula on CalcHub for accuracy.